We’ve got a rainy Tuesday on tap in parts of the Northeast so hopefully we get all of today’s games in.
I’m avoiding it all and going with one prop from a dome and another from Southern California for today’s MLB Picks.
Season Record 38-35-1, +0.08 Units
Royals at Rays
Shane McClanahan Under 15.5 Outs Recorded (-124 DraftKings)
The Rays lefty sometimes ace has been anything but stellar lately. In his last three starts he’s lasted just 12.1 IP total with an ugly 7.11 ERA and 2.13 WHIP. Before his recent blips he was excellent, with a 2.45 ERA and 1.02 WHIP though his 15.3% K-BB% was more good than outstanding and the estimators are not enamored with his work.
He has a 3.94 SIERA and 3.67 xERA on the season. Prior to this year he hadn’t pitched in MLB since early August 2023, so there’s also the question of whether he’s just run out of gas already.
As far as this particular prop goes, he’s just not going far into games in either his good starts or bad ones. McClanahan has only recorded an out in the sixth in one of his last seven starts, and that was literally one out.
Overall he’s gone past 5 IP just 3 of 14 times. The Royals offense isn’t the greatest and they’re missing Vinnie P and possibly Bobby Witt Jr. as well. But Jac Caglianone is on fire lately and they went off on the Cardinals last weekend so they’re hitting their stride a bit lately. There’s some juice on the under here but not enough in my opinion.
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Orioles vs. Angels
McClanahan’s ex-teammate Baz gets a somewhat easier assignment tonight as he takes on the banged up Angels in Anaheim. Mike Trout is out though Jorge Soler just returned from the IL. The latter is helpful for this prop as he’s rocking a 31% K%.
The Angels as a whole are the most whiff-tastic team in baseball with a 24.9% K%.
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PakarPBN
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